The idea of climate change itself is already in the process of final refutation of climate alarmists who believe that human use of fossil fuels is responsible for catastrophic global warming. This is because the natural cycles already deployed towards cooling, global temperatures have already reduced about 10 years, and will continue to fall for another 10-20 years.

This is one of the most interesting conclusions on the results of the seventh International conference on climate change, held in Chicago.

The conference was attended by serious circles of natural Sciences, in defiance of selfish politicized academia, financing of alarmists theory of global warming is seeking to bring the scientific basis for expansion nalogooblozheniia powers to the bodies of state power, or caseprofessional organizations like the United Nations.

At the conference was presented a balanced and thoughtful presentation of the venerable and not inclined to adventures scientists who discussed and explained many of the actual data. Contrasting sharply with those of climate realists, the climate alarmists have long recognized that in the public debate, they are unable to defend their theory that humans are causing catastrophic global warming.

If you look at the temperature record of the 20th century, you will find that the patterns of growth and decline are not correlated with the growth of the industrial revolution and the emissions of carbon dioxide, which is, like, is the main culprit of man-made global warming. Instead, entries follow the pattern of growth and decline of natural climate cycles.

For example, the temperature fell steadily from the late 1940s until the end of 1970-X. In the press have even started to talk about the coming ice age. Such periods cyclically happen every 10 thousand years, and a new one should begin just about this time.

In the late 1970's natural cycles turned in the direction of warming, and temperature were growing until the late 1990s that the political and economic interests tried mercilessly exploit. The dimension of the global atmospheric temperatures incorruptible satellites shows during this period, less warming than ruthlessly manipulated the temperature on the surface of the earth.

Central in these natural cycles is the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO). Every 25-30 years oceans are a natural cycle, where cold water is replaced by the surface warmer flows that affect global temperatures by a fraction of a degree. TDK was cold from the late 1940s to the late 1970s, and warm from the late 1970s until the late 1990s, which coincided with the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMK).

In 2000, the intergovernmental group of experts on the United Nations climate change (IPCC) predicted that by 2010, global temperature increase of 1 degree Celsius. If the forecast is based on climate science or politicized science to scare the public and be forced to take expensive antipersistence regulations and taxes?

Honorary Professor of Geology don Easterbrook knows the answer. In 2000 he publicly predicted that global temperatures by 2010 will decrease. He made his predictions because he knew that TDK in 1999 should be cold, what politicized scientists did not know or did not consider it an important factor.

Now the result before us, and conquered don Easterbrook. Presentation of Esterbrook entitled "correct forecasts a 20-year cold snap?" is a balanced, rational and full of logical analysis of the data and their explanation. That is, the fact that you will never get from the climate of alarmists, based on politicized PR, personal attacks based on bias arguments and labeling in combination with their declarations that they cannot defend their views in the public debate.

Easterbrook shows that by 2010, the IPCC was wrong much higher degree, and this gap is widening. This is a big mistake for predictions just 10 years ago, when the same people expect that we in earnest heed their forecasts for the 100 years in the future.

Because the cycles TDK last 25-30 years, Easterbrook expects the trend towards cooling will last for about two decades. He documented 40 such alternating periods of warming and cooling over the last 500 years, during the same data to a depth of 15 thousand years. In addition, he expects the Atlantic multidecadal fluctuation will add downgrading to an existing trend.

Easterbrook believes that unresolved the question is, how cold will become the current cycle of cooling. He says it is impossible to know. However, based on experience, most likely he will know about it before the UN and its politicized IPCC.