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Humanity's time to say goodbye to a sinking Amsterdam, Venice, Tripoli, Yokohama and the Maldives.
Global sea level is rising because of climate change, and this process is inevitable, " according to Mrs. Bahdanovich and Alexey Bondarev.
The Englishman James Dixon is one of the few who thinks Maldives excellent place for investment in real estate. It would seem that there is nothing strange, because this chain of beautiful coral Islands in the Indian ocean is one of the most beautiful places on the planet. And the number of those wishing to spend a holiday in the Maldives is growing every year.
In fact all these people are in a hurry to visit the Maldives, until they drowned, laughs Dixon, the owner of a small British IT company who are thinking about retirement and moving away from the bustling city of London. And the fact that the Maldives will become one of the first victims of global warming, brings a special flair in his plans.
Briton closely monitors fresh climate forecasts and believes that at his age inventory "buoyancy” the Maldives will be enough.
However, if you are going to invest in the purchase of the land on the Islands, he is aware that his children benefit from such inheritance is highly questionable.
In the middle of the century it will be possible to start to say goodbye to Bermuda and some other island States. Hit warming and Europe.
Climatologists predict several global level rise scenarios of the World ocean. And even the most optimistic, according to which this will rise by the end of the century only 1.5-2.0 m, still involves parting of mankind with the Maldives.
More pessimistic (and at the same time more reliable, according to some experts) scenarios suggest that many of the beautiful atolls are below the sea level within a few decades.
Dixon convinced that we will be able to earn some small hotel in the Maldives. "If the flow of tourists to the Maldives has grown in recent years only because of the country are more likely to talk in the news in connection with flooding, imagine what will happen when the island will really start to go under water,” says Dixon.
The flooding of the Maldives is slow, so tourists have nothing to fear, said the Briton, but it will be a great temptation to come each year to see flooded whether your favorite restaurant.
And the Maldives are not the only sacrifice that mankind will bring global warming. In the middle of the century it will be possible to start to say goodbye to Bermuda and some other island States. Hit warming and Europe.
The pride of Italy, famous Venice, continues to sink: according to the latest data, it occurs at a rate of 2 to 4 mm per year, and process, contrary to the results of previous studies, nor for the year continued. Immersion in the waters of the Adriatic scares Venice inhabitants and local authorities, but a positive effect on the local tourist business: the news that the city was flooded, appeared in March of this year, and in April the prices in Venetian hotels soared by 52 %, having reached on the average of 239 euros per day - the same cost hotel accommodation in Geneva recognized as the most expensive in Europe.
In total by the year 2100, away from the advancing waves will have to resettle at least 100 million people
Those from the pursuit of elusive beauty holds a modest budget, may find comfort in the fact that the fate of Venice and the Maldives sooner or later will suffer much of the planet.
By the end of the century, the rise of ocean levels are seriously going to edit a map of the world. In addition to the Maldives, Bermuda and Venice, will go under the water, entire sections of the present coast of the US, a substantial part of the Netherlands, large areas in Italy, Denmark, Germany, Poland, Spain. From the onset of the ocean will suffer China and Japan - will be flooded Shanghai and Yokohama. Ukraine warming also will not spare: the Black sea threatened to overwhelm Kerch, Feodosia, Evpatoria and Odessa.
In total by the year 2100, away from the advancing waves will have to resettle at least 100 million people. The first consequence of this process, humanity will experience in the coming decades.
"Sea level rise is invisible tsunami, growing, while we waited, warns Ben Strauss, a representative of the research organization Climate Central. - We're running out of time in order to have time to prevent the worst consequences of"big water”.
Irreversible process
Kenneth Miller, a Professor at Rutgers University in new Jersey, believes that the rise of the modern oceans will absorb the coast around the world and will damage 70% of the population of the planet.
Last year's report of the scientific group of the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme, consisting of about 100 climate scientists from eight countries of the world, claims that by the end of the next century, sea levels will rise by 1.6 m in comparison with 1990.
In the next century, the sea level will be higher by 4-6 m from the fact that the Antarctic and Greenland glaciers are melting, as pieces of ice on the sidewalk in the summer heat
Further - more. "In the next century, the sea level will be higher by 4-6 m from the fact that the Antarctic and Greenland glaciers are melting, as pieces of ice on the sidewalk in the summer heat”, - paints a gloomy picture of Jeremy Weiss, senior research fellow of the Department of geological Sciences at Arizona state University.
For the sake of justice it should be noted that warms the atmosphere, and with it the World ocean, not only human activities. In April of this year on the bottom of the Arctic ocean was discovered another leak methane gas, along with carbon dioxide "responsible” for the greenhouse effect.
Rising up from under the water huge bubbles, diameter up to 1 thousand m, scientists noticed before, but the fact that they are becoming more speaks about the alarming dependence: warming melting the subsea permafrost, and from under ice released gas deposits, which accelerates warming.
Water world
In addition to Venice and the Maldives to the "big water” should be prepared and many other large and well-known cities and States.
By 2050 can be fully submerged water famous island resorts Tuvalu and Kiribati. "Strategy to combat climate change, there can be only one - a total evacuation of the population”, - believes the Australian columnist Bernard Keane.
The danger is not only the island, lost in the endless space of the towering World ocean. The melting ice will be catastrophic for continental States.
By 2050 can be fully submerged water famous island resorts Tuvalu and Kiribati.
Climatologists predict a bleak future for Miami, New Orleans and several hundred coastal cities. According to a recent study by scientists from the University of Arizona, even if the level of the World ocean by the end of the century will rise "only” 1 m (which is incredibly optimistic forecast), all these cities will suffer serious damage. But much more realistic 1.5-2.0 m of an increase to the current level of the water will be destructive for them.
"The effects of sea level rise may become soil erosion, floods and permanent flooding”, warns Weiss. Strauss adds "wet” list, new York and says: most at risk in South Florida.
They shall not escape major damage and Asia. In China will be flooded vast territory, including in the area, which is a huge metropolis of Shanghai. Hit Brazil and Argentina in South America.
Do not bypass the flood and Ukraine: the list of likely victims appear, in particular, the Crimean city of Feodosia and Kerch. Ukrainian scientists call and other objects. "Today from sea level rise suffer Evpatoria and Odesa”, - says Yuri Goryachkin, senior researcher Marine hydrophysical Institute of NAS of Ukraine.
At the same time Black sea rises by their own reasons, not connected with the World ocean. "There is increasing balance of fresh water is the water level in the last 50 years has risen by 15 cm,” says Goryachkin.
Today from sea level rise suffer Evpatoria and Odessa
According to scientists ' estimates, the rise of water to 2 m leave without shelter 48 million Asians, 15 million Europeans, 22 million people in South America and 17 million - North as well as 11 million inhabitants of the African continent, 6 million Australians and 440 thousand Islands in the Pacific ocean. In the following centuries, when the water will rise by 4-7 m, you can expect even more frightening consequences.
However, according to some experts, there is a possibility of a quick development of events. Most current estimates are tied to the forecast of increase of average annual temperature by 2 degrees C. However, in the spring of this year a group of scientists from the USA and Europe has published the forecast according to which one should speak not of 2 C by 2100, and about 3 0C 2050. The estimates and projections presented on the website climateprediction.net.
The Kyoto Protocol did not work, and the main polluters - the US, India and China - while only declare their intentions to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases, the researchers said. It's too late. Pessimistic forecasts show that Global sea levels could rise by 7 meters within 100-150 years. Then under water will be not only Venice, Shanghai, Miami, and Copenhagen, Yokohama, Tripoli and most of the South of Ukraine.
The rescue of drowning
The confrontation of global warming is something like fighting windmills, says canadian columnist Mike Flynn. The big Industrialists, who would reduce their profits that methane reserves in the bottom of the ocean rushing to freedom, - we are talking about the fight against implacable enemies, says Flynn.
In his opinion, the government of Maldives has rightly received, opened in 2008, the special account, which will be transferred part of its income from tourism. These funds will be used to purchase land in Australia or India.
"We need to save for a rainy day, " explained the decision of former President Mohamed Nasheed. - In case if someone from citizens want to move from here, it was such opportunity”.
The government of Maldives has rightly received, opened in 2008, the special account, which will be transferred part of its income from tourism. These funds will be used to purchase land in Australia or India
Official negotiations about possible resettlement of 350 thousand inhabitants has not started yet, and in turn for the Australian plots already lined residents of other sinking Islands - Pacific Nauru and Tuvalu. And the authorities of the Atoll of Kiribati in April started negotiations with the government of Fiji on the purchase of 2.5 hectares of land.
"We hope that we will not have to move every one on this piece of land, but if it becomes absolutely necessary, we will do it,” said Anote Tong, leader of 103 thousand kiribatian.
In Europe approach to the solution of other problems. By 2014 in Venice should finish the construction of any new protection system consisting of mobile gateways and can withstand water rise up to 3 m (current hydraulic structures designed by 1.1-meter flood).
The development of dams busy and Dutch scientists: in a country where most of the territory is below sea level, this question plays a vital role.
"How effective system of dams and other protective constructions, in our country depends on the lives of millions,” said Guus Stelling, employee research Institute Deltares.
No action or in Odessa or in Evpatoria is taken and no one is going to do
Flood control project will Flood Control 2015, on which, together with the Dutch engineers and scientists work global technology corporations, such as IBM.
"The earlier the condition of dams watched a whole army of volunteers, and now will be used by special electronic sensors” - describes the essence of the project Peter the Drik, an employee Arcadis, one of the companies razrabotki.
That waterworks - the best and the only protection from coming ashore sea, and says Goryachkin. To boast of Ukraine is nothing. "No action or in Odessa or in Evpatoria is taken and no one is going to do,” says the scientist.
Valuable corpses
Global warming cannot be stopped. Scientists have compiled a list of cities and countries, which will sink first - even before the end of the century
Yokohama, Japan - 3.7 million people
Shanghai, China - 23,0 million
Venice, Italy - 270,8 thousand people
Manhattan, new York, USA - 1.6 million people
Bermuda is 64.3 thousand people
Malaga, Spain - 568,5 thousand people
Tripoli, Libya - 2.2 million
Odessa, Ukraine - 1,0 mln