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Moscow is the 33rd General Assembly of the European seismological Commission. This event, held every two years, gathered in the Russian capital over 500 scientists from 80 countries.
Before this Assembly was held in our country twice in 1968 and 1984. Theoretically, scientists around the world to share the event with their discoveries. However, as has informed on Tuesday at the press conference, the Secretary-General of the International Association of seismology and physics of the Earth Peter Suhadolk, "breakthroughs in seismology and never will in the near future".
According to seismologists, to date, there are about 600 of earthquake precursors. "However, the precursors do not guarantee that they will be followed by the earthquake. Moreover there are earthquakes and without warning" - said Vice-President of the European seismological Commission Alexey Zavialov.
Seismologists said, "We cannot guess the place, time and magnitude". The only way to try to predict earthquakes - watch those areas that are shaken with some frequency. For example, earthquakes happen every 10 years or 20 times, and so on. Based on this cycle, and the forecast for the future.
So, according to calculations, in the next year or two can be very shaken Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky: previous earthquakes above seven points was there in 1971, with a series of earthquakes in the Avacha Bay is about 40 years.
To Moscow this earthquake waves reaching as unlikely is more likely that Moscow will ever suffer from the earthquake in Europe. In addition, capital of Russia itself can shake the whole world, so that will not find it.
"Earthquakes rarely occur within the plates, however they occur. In America was the area that is considered aseismic - the town of new Madrid. And yet there happened a strong earthquake. When scientists began to study this question, it turned out that the reason is that the new Madrid sits on an ancient fault" - said the General Secretary of the International Union of geodesy and Geophysics Alik Ismail-Zadeh.
Moscow also sits on an ancient fault, seismologists said. In fact, he was active for several hundred million years ago. However, it is possible that now, quietly, near Moscow accumulates new energy. "Will be an earthquake in Moscow or not, is not known, but it is theoretically possible" - said Ismail-Zadeh.
He also reminded, what global climate change was due to the earthquakes in the history of the Earth: to date, there are three periods, when the temperature on the planet due to seismic activity fell by 20 - 25 C and kept at this level for two or three years. This happened due to the fact that the volcano ejected so much ash in the atmosphere that for several years he covered the Earth from the Sun.
According to seismologists, the volcanoes of Kamchatka has sufficient potential to my ashes to close all the sky above the planet. In Africa have nothing else, but the Russians to live under the ashes will be fun, because if the temperature falls on 23 C, and in Moscow in the summer will be 0 degrees C. If the ash cloud will be more dense, it is not excluded that there will be a new ice age and people die.
"It will happen or not is another question" - reassured all Peter Suhadolk.
Adelaide SIGIDA